Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dubočica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dubočica 2-0 Teleoptik
Original prediction
Dubočica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.7% | 44.4% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.5% | 28.1% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 30.8% | 27.5% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Dubočica
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Dubočica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DubočicaLLWLL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TeleoptikDDLDD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 1/5
DubočicaTeleoptik
66.7Attack16.7
83.3Defence33.3
66.7Form0.0
71.2Power21.5
1.72xG0.76