Dubočicavs
Semendrija 1924
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 10/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Semendrija 1924 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dubočica 0-1 Semendrija 1924, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dubočica 1-0 Semendrija 1924
Original prediction
Semendrija 1924
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 33.7% | 29.6% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.5% | 29.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 36.8% | 40.6% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Projected Score
Dubočica 0–1 Semendrija 1924
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Semendrija 1924
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Semendrija 1924 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60