GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dubočica · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dubočica 1-2 OFK Bor 1919

Original prediction

Dubočica

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6555.0%48.0%-7.0 pts
Draw3.7024.5%27.6%3.1 pts
Away4.4220.5%24.4%3.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–014%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Dubočica

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Dubočica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DubočicaWLLWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OFK Bor 1919WDDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DubočicaOFK Bor 1919
66.7Attack0.0
83.3Defence66.7
66.7Form0.0
71.2Power23.7
1.48xG0.77
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