Dubočicavs
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dubočica · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dubočica 2-1 FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Original prediction
Dubočica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.4% | 37.4% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 29.1% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.2% | 33.5% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Dubočica
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Dubočica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40