Dubai Unitedvs
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 9/10/2026, 1:40:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dubai United 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Original prediction
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.25 | 11.0% | 25.9% | 14.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.44 | 16.7% | 21.3% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 72.3% | 52.7% | -19.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00