Dubai Unitedvs
Hatta SC
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · League Cup · 10/1/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dubai United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dubai United 3-2 Hatta SC
Original prediction
Dubai United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.2% | 38.2% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.2% | 26.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.7% | 35.7% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Dubai United
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Dubai United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20