Dubai Unitedvs
Al-Ittihad Kalba
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 8/28/2026, 1:55:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dubai United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dubai United 4-1 Al-Ittihad Kalba
Original prediction
Dubai United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.8% | 44.8% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.6% | 25.2% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.6% | 30.1% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Dubai United
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Dubai United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80