GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 9/5/2026, 3:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ittifaq · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dubai City 2-0 Ittifaq

Original prediction

Ittifaq

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.1021.8%31.0%9.2 pts
Draw4.2021.3%25.6%4.4 pts
Away1.5756.9%43.4%-13.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-13.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Ittifaq

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Ittifaq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dubai CityLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IttifaqDLWDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Dubai CityIttifaq
33.3Attack16.7
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form16.7
16.3Power36.5
1.40xG1.58
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