GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 10/17/2026, 1:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Hamriyah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dubai City 0-2 Al Hamriyah

Original prediction

Al Hamriyah

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 12:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.4720.0%30.5%10.5 pts
Draw3.8223.4%23.6%0.2 pts
Away1.5856.6%45.9%-10.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Al Hamriyah

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Al Hamriyah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dubai CityLLLDW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al HamriyahLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dubai CityAl Hamriyah
44.4Attack38.9
11.1Defence44.4
22.2Form50.0
28.8Power46.1
1.54xG1.78
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