Dubai Cityvs
Al Arabi
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 9/18/2026, 2:40:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Arabi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dubai City 2-3 Al Arabi
Original prediction
Al Arabi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.50 | 16.1% | 21.9% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.2% | 22.2% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 61.7% | 56.0% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Al Arabi
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Al Arabi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40