Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Druzhba · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Druzhba are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while UCSA are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 76.4 against 77.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Druha Liga, while Druzhba holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Druzhba
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Druzhba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40