GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 11/18/2023, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Druzhba · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Druzhba are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Trostianets are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Druzhba hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (76.4 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.3% in the Druha Liga, while Druzhba holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Druzhba

Probability

71.3%

Model confidence

71.3%

Druzhba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DruzhbaDLWDW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TrostianetsLDWLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DruzhbaTrostianets
74.7Attack33.3
81.3Defence83.3
78.7Form50.0
76.4Power56.2
2.33xG0.66
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