GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 4/17/2024, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Druzhba · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Druzhba are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Real Pharm are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Druzhba hold a 47.7-point power-rating edge (76.4 v 28.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.0% in the Druha Liga, while Druzhba holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Druzhba

Probability

91.0%

Model confidence

91.0%

Druzhba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DruzhbaWDWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Real PharmLDDDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
DruzhbaReal Pharm
74.7Attack22.2
81.3Defence34.6
78.7Form21.0
76.4Power28.7
3.62xG0.36
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