GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 8/12/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Druzhba · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Druzhba are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Nyva Vinnytsya are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Druzhba hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (76.4 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.3% in the Druha Liga, while Druzhba holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Druzhba

Probability

75.3%

Model confidence

75.3%

Druzhba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DruzhbaWL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 4.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Nyva VinnytsyaLLLLL

GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DruzhbaNyva Vinnytsya
74.7Attack55.6
81.3Defence44.4
78.7Form44.4
76.4Power51.1
2.69xG0.72
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