GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 5/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Druzhba are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nart Cherkessk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Nart Cherkessk hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Second League - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DruzhbaLDWLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Nart CherkesskWLDDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
DruzhbaNart Cherkessk
44.4Attack44.4
63.0Defence72.2
48.1Form51.9
53.1Power56.8
0.78xG0.91
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