GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/30/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Druzhba · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Druzhba are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Metalurh Zaporizhya II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Druzhba hold a 42.6-point power-rating edge (76.4 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.1% in the Druha Liga, while Druzhba holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Druzhba

Probability

90.1%

Model confidence

90.1%

Druzhba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DruzhbaWWLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Metalurh Zaporizhya IILLLLL

GF 1 · GA 15 · avg 0.20/3.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
DruzhbaMetalurh Zaporizhya II
74.7Attack24.6
81.3Defence36.2
78.7Form33.3
76.4Power33.8
3.48xG0.37
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