GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 3/24/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Druzhba · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Druzhba are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Druzhba hold a 32.6-point power-rating edge (76.4 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.6% in the Druha Liga, while Druzhba holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Druzhba

Probability

80.6%

Model confidence

80.6%

Druzhba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DruzhbaWDLWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Lokomotiv KyivLWWDL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DruzhbaLokomotiv Kyiv
74.7Attack44.9
81.3Defence44.9
78.7Form38.5
76.4Power43.7
2.94xG0.62
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