GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/9/2023, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Druzhba · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Druzhba are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kremin' II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Druzhba hold a 59.9-point power-rating edge (76.4 v 16.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 94.7% in the Druha Liga, while Druzhba holds the strongest overall chance at 95% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Druzhba

Probability

94.7%

Model confidence

94.7%

Druzhba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DruzhbaWWWWL

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kremin' IILLLLL

GF 3 · GA 22 · avg 0.60/4.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
DruzhbaKremin' II
74.7Attack15.4
81.3Defence14.1
78.7Form7.7
76.4Power16.5
4.50xG0.36
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