Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Izberbash · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Druzhba are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Izberbash are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Izberbash hold a 29.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Cup, while Izberbash holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Izberbash
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
13.8%
Izberbash has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80