Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Druzhba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Druzhba 1-1 Enisey
Original prediction
Druzhba
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 31.9% | 38.2% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 27.3% | 28.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 40.8% | 33.3% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Druzhba
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Druzhba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DruzhbaWLWDD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
EniseyLDLDD
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DruzhbaEnisey
33.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence66.7
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power53.0
1.32xG1.01