Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Druzhba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Druzhba are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Chayka are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Druzhba hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (76.4 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Druha Liga, while Druzhba holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Druzhba
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Druzhba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40