Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Drukpa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Drukpa are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tsirang are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Drukpa hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.6% in the Premier League, while Drukpa holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Drukpa
Probability
62.6%
Model confidence
62.6%
Drukpa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80