Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Drukpa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Drukpa are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Thimphu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Drukpa hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Premier League, while Drukpa holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Drukpa
Probability
67.2%
Model confidence
10.5%
Drukpa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00