Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Drukpa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Paro are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Paro hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 81.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Premier League, while Paro holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paro
Probability
68.4%
Model confidence
8.7%
Paro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40