Drogheda Unitedvs
Sligo Rovers
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 9/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Drogheda United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Drogheda United 2-0 Sligo Rovers
Original prediction
Drogheda United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 52.9% | 52.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.8% | 25.7% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 4.33 | 21.4% | 21.6% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Drogheda United
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Drogheda United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60