Premier DivisionPremier Division
Friday, 19 June 2026Last updated 12:35
Drogheda United

Drogheda United

Home
W
22
Full time
Shelbourne

Shelbourne

Away
D
Weavers Park
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Shelbourne(42%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Drogheda United
33%
Draw
25%
Shelbourne
42%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Drogheda United
99
Shelbourne
73
Defence
Drogheda United
91
Shelbourne
27
Momentum
Drogheda United
100
Shelbourne
33
Danger (xG)
Drogheda United
3.60
Shelbourne
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Drogheda United)
3.60
avg per match
xG for (Shelbourne)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Drogheda United)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Shelbourne)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United
WWLLD
ShelbourneShelbourne
DWDDW

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Drogheda United33%
Draw25%
Shelbourne42%

Shelbourne leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Drogheda United head into this in Premier Division fixture at Weavers Park in mixed form (W), while Shelbourne arrive in mixed form (D). Drogheda United have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Shelbourne over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Drogheda United's elite attack (99/100) faces a vulnerable Shelbourne defence (27/100), while Shelbourne's attack is up against a watertight Drogheda United backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Drogheda United's favour.

Drogheda United have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Shelbourne have won 1 of their last 4 away fixtures, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Shelbourne to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Drogheda United 3260%, Draw 2530%, Shelbourne 4210%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Drogheda United 0Draws 10 Shelbourne
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
19 Jun 2026
Drogheda United
D22
Shelbourne

Recent form

Drogheda United

Drogheda United

W
vs Lucan United
17 Jul 2026
40
W
@ Dundalk
10 Jul 2026
21
L
vs Bohemians
3 Jul 2026
02
L
@ Derry City
26 Jun 2026
02
D
vs Shelbourne
19 Jun 2026
22
Shelbourne

Shelbourne

D
@ Kerry
17 Jul 2026
22
W
vs Dundalk
3 Jul 2026
21
D
@ Sligo Rovers
27 Jun 2026
22
D
@ Drogheda United
19 Jun 2026
22
W
@ St Patrick's Athl.
15 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

GoalVio's model predicts Shelbourne to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more