Drogheda Unitedvs
Dundalk
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 5/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundalk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Drogheda United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dundalk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundalk hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (42.6 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Premier Division, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dundalk
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00