Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malisheva · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Drita 0-1 Malisheva
Original prediction
Malisheva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 35.7% | 30.5% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.2% | 28.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.0% | 41.1% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Malisheva
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Malisheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DritaDWDLD
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MalishevaWWLWW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
DritaMalisheva
44.4Attack90.5
72.2Defence71.4
61.1Form76.2
61.7Power76.5
0.93xG1.32