Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Drita are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Llapi are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Llapi hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (62.7 v 65.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Superliga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00