Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Drita · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Drita 0-0 Gjilani
Original prediction
Drita
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 50.9% | 41.1% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.4% | 27.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.12 | 21.7% | 31.3% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Drita
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Drita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DritaLDWDD
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
GjilaniWLDWW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DritaGjilani
50.0Attack60.0
66.7Defence60.0
58.3Form66.7
60.3Power63.7
1.29xG1.20