Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCSB · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Drita are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FCSB are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FCSB hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while FCSB holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FCSB
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
FCSB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20