Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Drita · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Drita are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dukagjini are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Drita hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (62.7 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Superliga, while Drita holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Drita
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Drita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20