Drenica Skënderajvs
Prishtina
COMPLETEDKosovo · Superliga · 9/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Prishtina · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Drenica Skënderaj 1-4 Prishtina
Original prediction
Prishtina
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.10 | 28.8% | 27.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.6% | 28.9% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 42.6% | 43.4% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Prishtina
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Prishtina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00