Drenica Skënderajvs
Llapi
COMPLETEDKosovo · Superliga · 9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Drenica Skënderaj · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Drenica Skënderaj 4-0 Llapi
Original prediction
Drenica Skënderaj
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 42.6% | 46.1% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 27.9% | 26.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 29.5% | 27.4% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Drenica Skënderaj
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Drenica Skënderaj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40