GGOALVIO

Kosovo · Superliga · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Drenica Skënderaj · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Drenica Skënderaj 1-0 Feronikeli, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Drenica Skënderaj 2-2 Feronikeli

Original prediction

Drenica Skënderaj

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8648.6%53.8%5.3 pts
Draw3.3327.0%25.9%-1.1 pts
Away3.7024.4%20.2%-4.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.3 pts

Projected Score

Drenica Skënderaj 1–0 Feronikeli

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Drenica Skënderaj

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Drenica Skënderaj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Drenica SkënderajLWWLD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FeronikeliWLWLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Drenica SkënderajFeronikeli
42.9Attack23.8
66.7Defence38.1
42.9Form28.6
49.9Power33.3
1.67xG0.60
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