GGOALVIO

Kosovo · Superliga · 8/28/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Drenica Skënderaj · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Drenica Skënderaj 0-2 Ballkani

Original prediction

Drenica Skënderaj

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.7632.4%38.0%5.6 pts
Draw3.2327.8%27.5%-0.2 pts
Away2.2539.8%34.4%-5.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–08%

Predicted outcome

Drenica Skënderaj

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Drenica Skënderaj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Drenica SkënderajDDWWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BallkaniWLWLW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Drenica SkënderajBallkani
16.7Attack66.7
83.3Defence16.7
33.3Form50.0
48.3Power47.8
1.50xG1.25
View match centre →