Dren Vrhnikavs
Primorje
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 2. SNL · 9/19/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dren Vrhnika · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dren Vrhnika 2-1 Primorje
Original prediction
Dren Vrhnika
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 39.7% | 45.7% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 26.7% | 26.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 33.6% | 28.0% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Dren Vrhnika
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Dren Vrhnika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80