Dren Vrhnikavs
Krško
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 2. SNL · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dren Vrhnika · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (13%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dren Vrhnika 0-0 Krško
Original prediction
Dren Vrhnika
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.5% | 51.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.5% | 25.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 25.1% | 23.1% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Dren Vrhnika
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Dren Vrhnika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40