Dren Vrhnikavs
Beltinci
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 2. SNL · 10/18/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beltinci · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dren Vrhnika 1-2 Beltinci
Original prediction
Beltinci
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.33 | 20.7% | 20.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.2% | 21.5% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.62 | 55.1% | 58.5% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Beltinci
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Beltinci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80