GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - West · 8/5/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Düren Merzenich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Düren Merzenich are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Schalke 04 II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.3 against 53.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Regionalliga - West, while Düren Merzenich holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Düren Merzenich

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Düren Merzenich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Düren MerzenichWWWWL

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Schalke 04 IILDLWW

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Düren MerzenichSchalke 04 II
58.8Attack100.0
53.9Defence0.0
49.0Form50.0
54.3Power53.0
2.18xG1.45
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