GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Düren Merzenich are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Hürth are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Düren Merzenich hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, favouring a draw with 9.8% confidence, a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

22.9%

Model confidence

9.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Düren MerzenichLLWLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HürthDLWDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Düren MerzenichHürth
54.4Attack36.8
34.4Defence41.4
42.2Form37.9
44.7Power40.8
2.16xG1.36
View match centre →