GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 9/19/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Düren Merzenich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Düren Merzenich are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Hennef 05 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Düren Merzenich hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Düren Merzenich holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Düren Merzenich

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Düren Merzenich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Düren MerzenichLWLLL

GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Hennef 05LLDWW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Düren MerzenichHennef 05
54.4Attack49.4
34.4Defence29.9
42.2Form40.2
44.7Power41.0
2.58xG1.83
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