Düren Merzenichvs
Frechen
SCHEDULEDGermany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 12/6/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Düren Merzenich are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Frechen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
68.5%
Model confidence
68.5%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00