GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 10/5/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Düren Merzenich are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Frechen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Frechen

Probability

68.5%

Model confidence

68.5%

Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Düren MerzenichLWLWL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FrechenWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Düren MerzenichFrechen
54.4Attack78.2
34.4Defence62.1
42.2Form66.7
44.7Power66.5
1.30xG3.11
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