GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Köln II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Düren Merzenich are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Fortuna Köln II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Köln II hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Fortuna Köln II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Köln II

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Fortuna Köln II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Düren MerzenichLLWLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fortuna Köln IIWWLLL

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Düren MerzenichFortuna Köln II
54.4Attack55.2
34.4Defence46.0
42.2Form44.8
44.7Power48.8
1.95xG2.08
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