GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 4/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Düren Merzenich are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Bergisch Gladbach are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

59.5%

Model confidence

59.5%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Düren MerzenichLLLLW

GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Bergisch GladbachWWWWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Düren MerzenichBergisch Gladbach
54.4Attack60.9
34.4Defence64.4
42.2Form66.7
44.7Power63.8
1.23xG2.41
View match centre →