Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dreams · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dreams 2-2 Medeama
Original prediction
Dreams
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.1% | 39.0% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 25.8% | 28.8% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 4.41 | 20.1% | 32.2% | 12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Dreams
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Dreams has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DreamsLLWLW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MedeamaDWLWW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
DreamsMedeama
50.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
21.5Power45.3
1.05xG1.13