Dravinjavs
Slovan Ljubljana
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 2. SNL · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dravinja · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dravinja 1-4 Slovan Ljubljana
Original prediction
Dravinja
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.5% | 40.7% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.9% | 28.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.6% | 30.8% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Dravinja
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Dravinja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60