Dragones de Oaxacavs
Guerreros del Pacifico
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga Premier Serie A · 10/13/2026, 2:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dragones de Oaxaca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dragones de Oaxaca 5-1 Guerreros del Pacifico
Original prediction
Dragones de Oaxaca
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.9% | 53.5% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 21.2% | 24.7% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 5.73 | 15.9% | 21.8% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Dragones de Oaxaca
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Dragones de Oaxaca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80