GGOALVIO

El-Salvador · Primera Division · 8/23/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Isidro Metapán · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dragón are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Isidro Metapán are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (WLLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Isidro Metapán hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 77.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Primera Division, while Isidro Metapán holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Isidro Metapán

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Isidro Metapán has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DragónLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Isidro MetapánWLLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 0/4O2.5 1/4
DragónIsidro Metapán
49.3Attack66.7
45.1Defence75.0
44.4Form83.3
48.0Power77.1
1.09xG1.78
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